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What to Watch for as Biden Hosts NATO This Week

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NATO Leaders Gather in Washington to Celebrate 75th Anniversary Amid Uncertainty

As NATO leaders gather in Washington starting Tuesday, they will celebrate the strength of their alliance on its 75th anniversary while confronting deep uncertainty about its future.

In recent years, Russia’s aggression against Ukraine has given NATO a renewed sense of purpose, founded after World War II to defend Europe from the Soviet Union. However, the alliance also faces grave threats from right-wing skeptics gaining power in nations such as Germany and France.

The potential return of Donald J. Trump to the White House, who has criticized NATO and even considered withdrawing the United States from the alliance, has raised alarms among its members.

Here’s what to watch for during the three days of NATO meetings in Washington this week.

Staring Down Putin

One of the summit’s most important goals will be sending a signal of unity and strength to Moscow. President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia is counting on NATO’s efforts to counter his aggression to dwindle, potentially allowing him to conquer more of Ukraine and turn his sights to other nations. The summit will showcase a long-term commitment to Ukraine and the endurance of NATO itself.

Russian Sabotage

This year, U.S. and allied officials have reported Russian military intelligence conducting a covert sabotage campaign across Europe, including setting fires at warehouses and other sites associated with supplying Ukraine. NATO is taking these attacks seriously and is prepared to respond if Russia escalates covert attacks on Europe.

Ukraine’s Weapons Wish List

Ukraine is in desperate need of more air defenses and air defense missiles. The Biden administration announced a $2.3 billion military aid package for Ukraine, including air defense interceptors, artillery, mortar rounds, and anti-tank weapons. President Zelensky has emphasized the need for air defenses to protect critical infrastructure, including the nation’s electricity grid.

Patriots and HAWKs

The United States is sending more missiles for its Patriot air defense system and supplying the HAWK system to Ukraine. The HAWK system, developed in the 1950s, is still in service with several allied nations and is effective against slower-moving drones used by Russia in Ukraine.

Which Zelensky?

President Zelensky of Ukraine is pushing for a clear statement on Ukraine’s future membership in NATO. Diplomats are working to set expectations ahead of the summit and reinforce commitments to providing more weaponry and security guarantees to Ukraine.

The 2024 U.S. Election

The uncertainty surrounding the 2024 U.S. election and the possibility of Donald J. Trump returning to the White House looms over the summit. Mr. Trump has criticized NATO in the past, while President Biden faces scrutiny for any signs of faltering health or mental acuity. The spotlight will be on Mr. Biden as he navigates the future of NATO and U.S. support for Ukraine.

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