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What implications does the diminishing rate cut expectations from the US Federal Reserve have on the Indian stock market?

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US Fed meet ahead: All eyes on Federal Reserve’s policy decision

As the market eagerly awaits the outcome of the US Federal Reserve’s policy meeting this week, the focus is on whether the central bank will announce any rate cuts in light of recent macroeconomic data.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is set to announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, May 1, followed by Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. The latest data on inflation and GDP growth in the US has raised concerns about the direction of monetary policy.

Inflation in the US remains stubbornly high, with the consumer price index (CPI) rising above expectations. Additionally, the GDP numbers for the first quarter of 2024 showed a significant slowdown in economic growth.

The prevailing uncertainty in the market has led to speculation about the possibility of rate cuts. While some experts believe that the Fed may hold off on any rate cuts due to geopolitical tensions and volatile commodity prices, others are hopeful for at least two rate cuts this year.

The impact of the Fed’s decision on the Indian stock market is also being closely watched. Despite the potential for higher interest rates in the US, the Indian market saw significant gains in the previous financial year. The outlook for the current financial year remains positive, driven by strong domestic economic growth and investor sentiment.

Overall, the US Fed’s policy decision will have far-reaching implications for global markets, including India. Investors are advised to stay informed and seek expert advice before making any investment decisions in light of the evolving economic landscape.

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