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Traders are cautious before important inflation data is released

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Wall Street is on edge as fears of accelerating inflation loom large. Investors are anxiously awaiting Wednesday’s key inflation report, which could have significant implications for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions.

The concern stems from the possibility that if inflation picks up pace, the Fed may hesitate to cut interest rates, which could potentially hinder economic growth. This comes on the heels of a strong jobs report last week, which has raised expectations that rate cuts may be delayed.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slipped slightly, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures remained relatively flat. The US Dollar Index saw a slight increase, while the 10-year Treasury yield dipped slightly.

Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, highlighted the impact of last week’s robust jobs data and the strength in oil prices on the Fed’s decision-making process. He noted that Wednesday’s CPI inflation figure in the US, with a consensus forecast of 3.4%, could further complicate the situation.

Despite a recent decrease in the pace of price growth, inflation remains above the Fed’s target rate of 2%. The central bank had raised rates significantly in a short period to curb inflation, and any signs of reacceleration could deter them from lowering rates.

In addition to the inflation report, investors are keeping an eye on corporate events such as BNY Mellon and Bank of Nova Scotia’s annual meetings. The update to the NFIB optimism index, which tracks small business sentiment, is also on the radar for Wall Street.

The uncertainty surrounding inflation and interest rates has left investors in a holding pattern, eagerly anticipating Wednesday’s report for clarity on the Fed’s next moves.

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