Former President Trump holds a slight edge over President Biden in battleground Pennsylvania, a key swing state in general elections that will likely be crucial in deciding the winner of their 2024 rematch, according to a new Marist College Poll.
The poll indicates Trump at 47% support and Biden at 45% backing among registered voters in Pennsylvania. Democrat turned independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy registered at 3% in the survey, with Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent Cornel West each at 1%, and 2% undecided.
Among the smaller pool of those likely to vote in the presidential election, the presumptive Republican nominee continues to edge his Democratic successor in the White House 48%-46% in a multi-candidate field.
Trump became the first Republican in nearly three decades to win Pennsylvania in 2016, but Biden narrowly carried the state in 2020. The new poll from Marist, conducted June 3-6, points to problems for Biden with parts of the Democratic Party’s base, including a loss of support among Black voters.
The survey also highlights a Trump surge among voters under age 45 in Pennsylvania, while Trump’s advantage among older voters has evaporated.
While Trump holds the edge over Biden in the latest polling in most key swing states, his campaign is facing a deficit in grassroots outreach and get-out-the-vote efforts compared to the Biden campaign.
The Trump campaign, along with the Republican National Committee and the Pennsylvania GOP, recently opened their first campaign office in Pennsylvania, while the Biden re-election campaign, the Democratic National Committee, and Pennsylvania Democrats have 24 coordinated offices and hundreds of staffers across the Commonwealth.
The 2024 election is shaping up to be a closely contested battle in Pennsylvania and across the country, with both candidates vying for the support of key demographics and working to mobilize their bases.
