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Is Russia’s economic growth sustainable in the long term?

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Title: Russia’s Economy Adapts and Thrives Despite Sanctions

In February 2022, Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine led to a wave of international sanctions aimed at crippling the Kremlin’s ability to wage war. However, over two years later, Russia’s economy is not only surviving but thriving, with a predicted growth rate higher than that of many advanced economies.

Despite being described as “crippling” and “debilitating”, the sanctions have not led to shortages in Russian supermarkets. While some Western companies exited the market in protest, their products still find their way into Russia through various channels.

Russia has adapted to the sanctions by developing new markets in the East and the Global South, boasting that attempts to isolate the country have not succeeded. Moscow has found workarounds to continue its economic activities, such as redirecting oil exports to China and India.

The reliance on China has become crucial for Russia, with trade between the two countries reaching record levels. Chinese products dominate Russian markets, showcasing the importance of this partnership in the face of sanctions.

However, the focus on military spending as a driver of economic growth raises concerns about the long-term impact on the Russian economy. With funds diverted from infrastructure and development projects to support the military-industrial complex, experts warn of potential economic instability in the future.

As the US threatens secondary sanctions on foreign banks aiding transactions with Moscow, Russia faces new challenges that could lead to a financial crisis by autumn. While Russia has managed to navigate around existing sanctions, the pressure on its economy remains a significant concern.

The story of Russia’s economic resilience in the face of sanctions highlights the complexities of international relations and the impact of geopolitical decisions on global economies. Despite finding ways to adapt and thrive, the future remains uncertain for Russia as it continues to face economic challenges amidst ongoing conflicts.

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