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How Yes-or-No Questions on Abortion Rights May Shape the 2024 Election

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Democrats are gearing up for a tough presidential race against Donald J. Trump and a challenging Senate map, but they believe they have a powerful political weapon in the form of ballot measures to protect abortion rights. States like Arizona, Nevada, Maryland, and potentially Montana are expected to put such measures directly before voters, with other states like New York, Florida, and Nebraska also in the mix.

Since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade two years ago, every ballot measure seeking to protect or restore access to abortion has been successful, regardless of whether the state is red or swing. These measures have not only energized liberal turnout but have also helped Democratic candidates secure victories.

Democratic candidates, state parties, and allied groups are campaigning vigorously alongside the ballot initiatives, running ads, pouring money behind them, and bringing up the measures in their speeches. In Arizona, for example, Democratic candidates are collecting signatures for the state’s ballot measure as they campaign.

The wave of abortion referendums is adding unpredictability to an already tumultuous election season, with President Biden facing low approval ratings and skepticism within his party. Democrats hope that these ballot initiatives will increase turnout among core voters like suburban women, young people, and African Americans.

Republicans, on the other hand, have been reluctant to directly campaign against these ballot measures, though some have voiced opposition. The measures have driven huge interest and turnout due to their direct impact on voters’ lives, especially in states like Florida and Arizona where abortion restrictions have been enforced.

Overall, Democrats believe they have the advantage with these ballot measures, as they continue to campaign vigorously to protect abortion rights and mobilize voters. The upcoming election season is sure to be influenced by these crucial issues that are at the forefront of American politics.

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