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Climate Change Increased the Likelihood of an Early Heat Wave in West Africa by 10 Times

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A Record-Breaking Heat Wave Hits West Africa in February, Climate Change Blamed

In a shocking turn of events, a remarkably early and record-breaking heat wave swept through the southern part of West Africa in mid-February, leaving residents and officials stunned. According to a new analysis by an international team of scientists, climate change played a significant role in making this extreme heat 10 times more likely. The presence of extra greenhouse gases in the atmosphere from burning fossil fuels also pushed the heat index about four degrees Celsius higher than it would have been otherwise.

National weather agencies in Ghana and Nigeria were quick to issue warnings to the public as they saw the unusual temperatures approaching. The Africa Cup of Nations soccer tournament in Ivory Coast was also affected, with players needing extra breaks during games to stay hydrated.

What made this heat wave particularly alarming was the early onset of high temperatures, catching many off guard and leaving them with less time to acclimate. Wasiu Adeniyi Ibrahim, head of the Nigerian Meteorological Agency’s central forecast office, noted that many people wouldn’t have been prepared for the intense heat.

During the peak of the heat wave, temperatures soared above 40 degrees Celsius, or 104 degrees Fahrenheit, with high humidity making the air feel even hotter. The heat index rose to around 50 degrees Celsius, or 122 degrees Fahrenheit, posing a serious health risk to residents.

Limited data is available on how the heat wave impacted people across West Africa, but experts believe there may have been widespread harm. Many residents in the region lack access to essential resources like water, energy, and sanitation, leaving them with few options for coping with extreme heat.

Vulnerable populations, such as older individuals, those with existing illnesses, and outdoor workers, are at a higher risk during heat waves. The analysis by the World Weather Attribution group highlighted the challenges of studying extreme weather events in West Africa due to limited data from weather stations.

As the region braces for more extreme weather events in the future, last month’s heat wave serves as a stark reminder of the urgent need to address climate change and its impact on vulnerable communities.

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